2020 EV prediction

Today, three pure EV,s are available to consumers: the Ford Focus Electric, Mitsubishi MiEV and Nissan Leaf.
The US made Coda and Tesla will be available only in limited quantities and both BMW's ActiveE and Honda's
Fit EV remain in the prototype stage. There are also a wide variety of low-volume entries for specialized markets,
such as Renault's Fluence Z.E., Smart;s FortwoElectric Drive, Pure Mobility's Buddy and Reva Electric Car's G-Wiz,
Bollore's Bluecar. BY 2020 those names could be more familiar since every major vehicle manufacturer is likely to be
offering at least one pure EV.

The pure EV relying only on battery power will account for less than 3 percent of the total market by 2020, according
to Gartner.

"The internal combustion engine will dominant for the next 15 years and maybe even longer", - said Thilo Koslowski,
vice president Garther's auto practice.. "We predict that by 2020 only 5 to 8 percent of vehicles will be electric -
including hybrids - with the all-electric models accounting for 2 to 3 percent".

If a breakthrough battery technology like lithium air is commercialized, the EV market share could exceed current
forecasts. For now, efforts like IBM's Battery 500 Project focusing on lithium air technology won't hit the market until
2025.

With cheaper, light-weight lithium air batteries, EVs could archive a 500-mile range at the same weight as gasoline
models, allowing them to exceed the range of the internal combustion engine.

"In the long run, the pure EV's will win, because their range will keep extending while their fuel efficiency and
performance will get better and better. Hybrids will slowly recede into the past",- predicted Wahid Nawabi of
AeroVironment Inc.

A $230 million US Energy Department EV Project is installing recharging infrastructure in six states while
the West Coast Green Highway initiative is installing public, fast-charging stations along I-5 between
Vancouver and San Diego.

A one-minute recharge is the goal of Better Place, which switches-out pre-charged battery pack in less time than
it takes to fill-up at the gas pump. The only available switch station are in Israel for Renault's Fluence Z.E., with
Denmark and the Netherlands to follow soon. As part of a pilot project, Better Place is installing battery switching
station in the Bay Area to support a fleet of switchable-battery EV taxis.

Also, Nissan-Renault Alliance is supporting the fast-recharge infrastructure by partnering with NRG Energy(Princeton, NJ)
to install fast-charging station in California and Texas.